I am well aware that it is a square move to take this many favorites, but favorites do cover sometimes.
Not going to write much just going to leave this here….
(2-1, 0-1 away)
(3-1, 2-0 home)
Coverage: ESPNU
3:30 PM ET, September 20, 2014
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC
Not super confident about this one, because Arkansas seems to be much improved under fatty this year. They are also built to slow down teams like the Aggies by running the ball and burning clock. Having said that, betting against Texas A&M sounds like a huge bummer. Just sweating every snap expecting them to zing a 65 yard tuddy. Take the Aggies, hope they get rollin and force The Hogs to try and throw. That will not go well for them.
-SirSwish
Wyoming heads to East Lansing to take on Sparty. They bring with them one of the worst offenses in all of football. MSU obviously has one of the best defenses in the Nation. The formula is then pretty simple: MSU scores in the 30s and they cover. I think they will with ease.
-SirSwish
Brutal loss last night with a true frosh Q scoring a garbage tuddy for Tech in the final minutes to cover.
ODU is my new UTSA. These boys can put up serious points and anytime two poop squads are playing always run with the team that can score. Classic case of “hey bro what’s that Old Dominion score?” Bro responds “They are up 30, but what the fuck why?” Sharpies “no big deal just had a hundy piece on them” next.
Off to happy hour
-Mr Splashaginn
Waka! Waka! bitches
-Phil
Pretty simple: you get to bet on the greatest country in the world, AND GET ODDS!!! Where do i sign?
Truthfully the US struggles in Ryder Cups as of late, only winning four times since 1985. The event also takes place in the far away land of Scotland, where the weather sucks and the food is worse*. But I like USA and here is why:
1. Rickie Fowler is playing better golf than anyone this year. Yeah I said it. Even better than Rory. Sure Rory has the wins but Slick Rick has been playing an incredibly high level in virtually every tournament, especially the big ones. The Ryder Cup is as big as it gets.
2. Trouble in paradise? Indeed. Graeme McDowell and Rory McIlory are suing each other over some sports management issues. The details of that are boring, so you can Google it yourself if you want. However the fact that that situation is ongoing cant be a good thing for team Europe. Chemistry and comradery are very important in these events, and to have two buddies from Ireland in pissing match does not bode well for that. HUGE advantage to the boys from the States.
3. Hunter Mahan and Matt Kuchar are terrific match play golfers. They always compete and often win match play events. Match play comes down to banging long putts to push, and both the boys have the sweet stroke on the short stuff for it.
*Never been, but pretty sure this is the case.
Soooo…. hit the sack now, wake up at 2AM, log into your sportsbook, smile because OKIE ST covered and you’re rich, let it ride on USA.
-SirSwish
Sorry Sharpies, SirSwish and I have been on a two weekend bender. However, after 29 vodka sodas, a few games of ski ball in Minneapolis, 8 slices of za and a Hawkeye win we are back and dialed in.
Let’s reset where we sit for the year…
College Football: 11-5-1
NFL: 0-5….but as we discussed, I am done posting NFL picks unless I figure it out on my own so that will be SirSwish from now on
Luckily CFB is still relatively easy for a few more weeks so get to back on track we are going with:
Oklahoma State -14 at home vs Texas Tech.
Why?
Well for starters my recreation flag football team that I am no longer even part of could throw for 367yds and 4 TDs against there defense. You know when your sitting there watching college games thinking “I dont see how they ever get a stop without a random fumble or deflected pass that ends up landing on their lap” well that is pretty much how ever Texas Tech game goes. Outside of there ridiculous start last year and all the stories about Kliff Klingsbury (who I would trade my life with in a second, but that’s besides the point) they are actually a fairly pedestrian team.
Okie States only loss on the year comes against Florida St by 6 points and for anyone who watched that games knows it was just as close as the score says. They absolutely TROUNCED UTSA by 30 two weeks ago which is actually a very impressive win. Now coming off a bye, I expect them to honestly gain over 600 yards of total offense and hang a 50 spot on the scoreboard. Texas Tech will score a couple tuds but thats the beauty of college football, 28 points wont get it down when the other team is plopping 60 bangers on your head.
The pick, Okie St -14 with moderately high confidence
-Mr. Splashaginn
Sorry for the non action yesterday in college. Mr. Splashaginn was attending a wedding and SirSwish was at the Iowa game. The only game I got off was FIU +26 but locked it in at 10:58am so couldn’t get it out to Sharpie nation. Side note, Ferentz has to go right? 3rd and 6 on the Clones 36, run an HB dive followed by a punt. That has to be the biggest pussy move in the history of college football. My 4 year old son that I don’t even have thought that was a soft move.
Back to the pick of the week…sometimes in the NFL you have to go big on one or two games instead of pick 4-5 and that logic applies this week.
Teaser: Green Bay from -8 to -2, and New Orleans from -7 to -1 for a 5 start pick of the month. The amount of nervousness I have around this selection is literally like 3% nervous. There is no way Brees and Rodgers enter week 3 0-2 with loses against the Cleveland Browns and NY Jets. As you see we already think GB is going to cover -8, so when I saw NO -7 I said lets just combine the two to bring them down to a pick em. Bet what you want, but I went large.
Don’t expect anymore picks this afternoon out of me as I am headed to La La La La La Mo Fuggin Lambeau in 45 minutes and wont be able to see straight in 60 minutes.
-Mr. Splashaginn
Green Bay won’t be 0-2. Seattle is really good at the sport of football so please relax. The Jets suck and barely beat a rookie QB against Oak. This has roll city written all over it. 17 point W, any questions? #letsgohawks
-Mr Splashaginn
La Tech +4 at North Texas
Even after taking an absolute battering last week, the Squares are still a smooth 10-5-1 in CFB on the young season and have a strong feeling we will be 11-5-1 after tonight (can we just drop the 1 from here on out? Yeah I think we can)
Look I could go on and on about this La Tech squad about how they are a legit contend…….just kidding, no I can’t, I just know they are going to cover +4 and thats all that matters. La Tech alreay hit +38 for us against Oklahoma which is actually pretty impressive since OU appears to be a legit Final 4 contender. I placed that bet with the assumption that OU would be a little overrated again so the fact that they covered is that much more impressive.
In all seriousness, after the OU thrashing La Tech proceeded to BEAT ULL 48-20 while being a 15 point underdog! Holy Toledo right? Right. North Texas kinda of did the same thing after losing to Texas (who sucks) they whooped the shit out of SMU by 40 when being only favored by 3…whoops says Vegas, we missed that one. June Jones the coach of SMU just sent it packing out of nowhere so shit is clearly going to hell down in Texas. La Tech has a fairly legit QB in Cody Sokol, Iowa transfer who is probably better than current Iowa starter Jake Ruddock. I just had to squeeze that blast in there even though it has nothing to do with the game. I actually want to take this game straight up but every time I do that I end up losing even though they covered which makes me sad. So take the points and run with them.
-Mr. Splashaginn
What a fucking weekend, this morning I woke up feeling like I just went 15 rounds with the Champ. What an absolute battering. It’s like I was waiving the white flag, but the hits just kept coming. Here I am just asking to be rescued while the NFL ships are just burying me in wake.
Honestly, doesn’t get much worse than that but thats the life of a degenerate gambler and fortunately the percentages say that nonsense can’t keep up. First off, we had an average weekend in CFB, I haven’t crunched the numbers but I am assuming we are somewhere in the ballpark of 9-6-1 for the season ATS? Being that is our bread and butter it only made sense that the NFL boys were lurking to take us to the cleaners. The NFL has to be the most mind fucking boggling sport in the country. How the hell does anyone consistently win in the League of Nonsense? Let’s recap a few of the bets I personally had out there yesterday. Pitt -1 and Chi -1 in a teaser. Pitt up 24-3 against literally the worst team in the NFL and what happens, future Hall of Famer Brian Hoyer leads the troops down the field like 18 times, ties it up and loses on a last second FG. Can someone explain to me how that his even possible? Next we got good ole Jay Cutler and the boys. WHEN WILL NFL COACHES REALIZE YOU DONT WANT THE FOOTBALL TO START OVERTIME. I will gladly take a salary of 100k a year to fly to every team and let them know about this groundbreaking research. They act like touchdowns are just flowing in by the hundreds in the NFL, kick the ball, if the other team hits a field goal who gives a shit, now you have 4 downs to march right back with urgency to either tie the game or win it. It’s easily the most frustrating thing that is going on in the NFL today…well that and the fact that when teams get up 14 they pretend like the Super Bowl is all but locked up and stop playing offense which brings me to my next game.
I had Denver -9 that wasn’t even posted. Manning and the boys up 24-0 heading into final 2 minutes of regulation. I literally said to myself, 110% chance Luck marches for a TD here. Why? Because in the NFL they just sit around running prevent defenses when they feel the game is in hand…its honestly like Nintendo 64 NFL Blitz. You just have to hope the team you need to cover has the ball with enough time in the right situation. For example, if the spread is 9 and your team is down 14 with 4 minutes left you honestly have no chance of covering. Why? Because the other team could give a shit about field goals, has 4 downs to score AND your team will be in prevent.
Lets just hope a few of these games swing the Sharpies way moving forward.
-Mr. Splashaginn
Sharpened Squares 